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NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018 odds and picks: Advanced model locks in surprising predictions for GoBowling at The Glen

After opening at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018, which runs Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It is the second road course race of the season and Denny Hamlin, listed at 10-1 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds, won the pole Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road wins, including two at Watkins Glen, but his final win at The Glen was back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling at The Glen this past year and is listed at 4-1 odds. Before you make any 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen choices, you need to find out what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The model, built by DFS expert Mike McClure, has a proven track record in a number of sports. It also powers McClure’s DFS projections, which have led him to more than $1 million in career winnings.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Significant racing events in this way have been in his blood, and his version has been beating its 2018 NASCAR picks.

The model has made several huge calls this season, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 also as Harvick’s win in the KC Masterpiece 400. In addition, it nailed five of the top 10 in Bristol and two of the top five in Daytona, just to name a couple. Anybody following its picks this year is way, way up.

Now that the 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen field is secured, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times and the results were so unexpected.

1 surprising pick from the model for GoBowling in The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, obtaining the third-best NASCAR at Watkins Glen chances to win at 6-1, doesn’t sniff the best 10. He is a driver to avoid on Sunday despite his stellar starting position of third.

Elliott is still in search of the initial career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series win. He’s cracked the top 10 in four of the past seven starts, but was only 19th in Chicago and 34th in Daytona a month. Last year in Watkins Glen, Elliott again started close to the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest rate (124.520 mph) in the final practices for GoBowling in The Glen 2018, but the version says he is a popular to fade.

Another shocker: Truex Jr., obtaining the second-best odds at 4-1, doesn’t even finish in the top five.

He has had plenty of success on road tracks, including winning final year. But he is a risky choice at these chances because he has an average finish position of 12th at Watkins Glen in his career, and it has completed 10th or worse in three of the past six races here. There are better values available in this Go Bowling in The Glen field.

Instead, the version is targeting two huge underdogs with odds longer than 30-1 that are poised to make a serious run at the checkered flag, such as a monster long haul. Anyone who bets on such underdogs could hit it rich.

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